Limited Alpha Release

Quantifying Asymmetry.

Autonomous Prediction Market Engine

Poly-Alpha systematically captures pricing dislocations on Polymarket using Gemini 3.0 Flash for tail-risk NLP analysis and Continuous-Time Multivariate Kelly Optimization.

ultimate_executor.py 

# Initializing LLM cluster routing...
# Gemini 3.0 Latency Check: PASS

# Shin (1992) Power-law Debiasing
def calculate_kelly(EV, Cov_inv):
    f = Cov_inv.dot(EV)
    return np.clip(f, 0, MAX_SLIPPAGE)

> Executing L2 Limit GTC on Polymarket.

Strategic Edge

Engineered for continuous, high-velocity alpha generation.

Latency Defense

Dominates the first 25% of market lifecycles before HFT bots correct spreads. Instantly drops markets with breaking real-world news catalysts.

AI Tail-Risk Engine

Leverages Google Gemini 3.0 Flash to isolate tail risks, grouping correlated global events to prevent Gambler's Ruin clustering.

Favorite-Longshot Bias

Systematically provides liquidity against bloated retail narratives, extracting the Volatility Risk Premium from >85% statistical favorites.

1. Gamma API Scrape
2. Gemini 3.0 Fundamental NLP
3. Shin-Debiased Expected Value
4. Limit Order Execution (Max 15% BBO)

The AI-Driven Pipeline

Poly-Alpha goes beyond basic statistical arbitrage. It incorporates fundamental reasoning using state-of-the-art LLMs to safely navigate prediction markets.

  • Semantic Covariance: Analyzes text similarities in market descriptions to identify hidden correlations.
  • Clustering Defense: Ensures capital isn't wiped out by a single geopolitical "Black Swan".
  • Zero-Slippage Routing: Limits capital sizing geometrically directly against the Polymarket Central Limit Order Book structure.

Pricing Plans

Institutional-grade quantitative tooling. Transparently priced.

Hobbyist

$49/mo

For individuals learning prediction market dynamics.

  • Access to Paper-Trading Engine
  • Daily Gemini 3.0 Flash Market Reports
  • End-of-Day orderbook data

Pro Quant

$299/mo

For serious retail traders looking to capture alpha.

  • Live Trading Execution via Polygon
  • Real-time Gemini 3.0 Latency Defense
  • Shin (1992) L2 Orderbook Debiasing
  • Priority Chat Support

Institutional

Custom

For funds providing liquidity at scale.

  • Unlimited High-Frequency Subaccounts
  • Custom Multimodal LLM Deployments
  • Dedicated Infrastructure & API Access
  • SLA Guarantees